Mjondalen 1-2 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.64/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.80
+3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Moss
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
20.08.2023 Moss Moss 4-1 HT 2-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
01.07.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
24.10.2010 Moss Moss 1-1 HT 0-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
25.04.2010 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-3 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
11.10.2009 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-1 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
21.06.2009 Moss Moss 2-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss nicked a narrow win over Mjondalen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mjondalen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moss led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mjondalen and 2.17 for Moss.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Moss?

Mjondalen 1-2 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjondalen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 43%, draw 24%, Moss 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mjondalen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjondalen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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