Stabaek 4-5 Egersunds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.8
2-3 Goals
35%
2.16
4-5 Goals
31%
2.48
6+ Goals
15%
5.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.8pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Egersunds EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.90/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.99/2.25
+18% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +119% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
4-5
AWAY Egersunds
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds squeezed past Stabaek 5-4 away from home. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Egersunds made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Stabaek had 46% of the ball to Egersunds's 54%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Egersunds?

Stabaek 4-5 Egersunds in the Norway - 1st Division on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Egersunds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 40%, draw 26%, Egersunds 34%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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