Aalesund 4-1 Asane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.51
2-3 Goals
46%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
9%
8.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Asane EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.30/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.63
-27% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Asane
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2021 Asane Asane 1-6 HT 1-4 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
02.07.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 2-0 HT 0-0 Asane Asane NOR1
05.08.2018 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Asane Asane NOR1
13.05.2018 Asane Asane 2-3 HT 1-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Asane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund swept aside Asane 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aalesund as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aalesund had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Aalesund and 0.75 for Asane.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Asane?

Aalesund 4-1 Asane in the Norway - 1st Division on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Asane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 47%, draw 25%, Asane 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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