01/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Brodd vs Odds BK II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
29%
Draw
19%
15%
Away Win
18%
38%
Under 2.5
30%
62%
Over 2.5
70%
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
39%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brodd v Odds BK II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Brodd
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Odds BK II
EU Bookmakers 21%
-28% /
-25%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+20% /
+20%
1.30/1.19
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.19/2.18
-50%
/
+12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+49%
/
+10%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
17
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
5
390 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
317 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.7
Yellow Cards
0.0
POST-MATCH
Brodd vs Odds BK II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Brodd swept aside Odds BK II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brodd as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Brodd vs Odds BK II?
Brodd 4-0 Odds BK II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brodd vs Odds BK II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brodd win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Brodd 57%, draw 29%, Odds BK II 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brodd), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Brodd)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
1 Sep 2024