01/09/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
Surnadal vs Rana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
10%
16%
Draw
11%
72%
Away Win
79%
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
44%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Surnadal v Rana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Surnadal
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rana
EU Bookmakers 84%
-21% /
-21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+12%
0.69/4.34
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
4.55/0.42
-40%
/
-35%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+52%
/
+147%
38%
Ball Possession
62%
9
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Target
8
3
Corners
8
253 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
518 · 89%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
0.6
Surnadal vs Rana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Surnadal
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Rana
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Surnadal vs Rana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Rana saw off Surnadal 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Rana as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Surnadal vs Rana?
Surnadal 0-2 Rana in the Norway - 3rd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Surnadal vs Rana?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rana win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Surnadal 12%, draw 16%, Rana 72%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Rana)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
1 Sep 2024