Nieciecza 3-0 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.35 — our 26% vs market 14.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Nieciecza win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
78%
-16.8pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.3pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+10.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
467 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
22.06.2019 Nieciecza Nieciecza 3-1 HT 3-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
3-0
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza ran out comfortable winners over Stal Stalowa Wola 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nieciecza as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 61% of the ball to Stal Stalowa Wola's 39%, shots finished 19-6.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Nieciecza 3-0 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 61%, draw 21%, Stal Stalowa Wola 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nieciecza), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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