Maribor 4-1 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.68
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 30% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
2.28/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+27% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
4-1
AWAY ND Primorje
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maribor vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor swept aside ND Primorje 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Maribor had 58% of the ball to ND Primorje's 42%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Maribor vs ND Primorje?

Maribor 4-1 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Maribor 51%, draw 26%, ND Primorje 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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