Olimpija Ljubljana 4-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.68/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.13
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mura
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
10.03.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
12.11.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
03.09.2023 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
19.03.2023 Mura Mura 2-1 HT 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
08.12.2022 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
4-0
AWAY Mura
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana ran out comfortable winners over Mura 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 67% of the ball to Mura's 33%, shots finished 22-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.67 for Mura.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura?

Olimpija Ljubljana 4-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 56%, draw 24%, Mura 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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