Mura 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

Mura
1-1 HT 1-0
Olimpija Ljubljana
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-9.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mura v Olimpija Ljubljana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.28/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.87/0.92
+33% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
177 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
03.09.2023 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
19.03.2023 Mura Mura 2-1 HT 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
08.12.2022 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
17.09.2022 Mura Mura 2-3 HT 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
17.07.2022 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN

Mura 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-1
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura and Olimpija Ljubljana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpija Ljubljana at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mura had 32% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 68%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mura and 1.67 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Mura 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mura 25%, draw 26%, Olimpija Ljubljana 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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