Rogaska 1-0 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rogaska EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.60
-21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +94%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rogaska
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Radomlje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.11.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 1-3 HT 0-1 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
03.09.2023 Rogaska Rogaska 1-1 HT 1-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rogaska
1-0
AWAY Radomlje
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rogaska vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rogaska edged past Radomlje 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Rogaska found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rogaska had 50% of the ball to Radomlje's 50%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rogaska had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rogaska and 1.00 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Rogaska vs Radomlje?

Rogaska 1-0 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rogaska vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rogaska win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Rogaska 34%, draw 32%, Radomlje 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rogaska), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rogaska) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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