Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
16%
6.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.1pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.0pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.8pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.10/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.33
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mura
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
12.11.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
03.09.2023 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
19.03.2023 Mura Mura 2-1 HT 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
08.12.2022 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
17.09.2022 Mura Mura 2-3 HT 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
0-0
AWAY Mura
67% Ball Possession 33%
28 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana and Mura played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Olimpija Ljubljana at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 67% of the ball to Mura's 33%, shots finished 28-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.00 for Mura.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura?

Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 58%, draw 24%, Mura 18%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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