Radomlje 1-0 Rogaska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.78
6+ Goals
13%
16.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.78 — our 24% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.5pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+8.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomlje EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Rogaska EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
0.97/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomlje
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Rogaska
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Rogaska Rogaska 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
11.11.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 1-3 HT 0-1 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
03.09.2023 Rogaska Rogaska 1-1 HT 1-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomlje
1-0
AWAY Rogaska
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radomlje vs Rogaska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomlje nicked a narrow win over Rogaska 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rogaska at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radomlje had 50% of the ball to Rogaska's 50%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rogaska led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Radomlje and 1.67 for Rogaska.

What was the final score of Radomlje vs Rogaska?

Radomlje 1-0 Rogaska in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomlje vs Rogaska?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rogaska win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radomlje 35%, draw 24%, Rogaska 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rogaska) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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