Fethiyespor 3-4 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fethiyespor EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fethiyespor
1W-1D-2L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.01.2024 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor S2-K
10.09.2023 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 0-1 HT 0-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor S2-K
11.03.2023 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
01.10.2022 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fethiyespor
3-4
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fethiyespor vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor edged past Fethiyespor 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had GMG Kastamonuspor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fethiyespor had 47% of the ball to GMG Kastamonuspor's 53%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, GMG Kastamonuspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Fethiyespor and 0.75 for GMG Kastamonuspor.

What was the final score of Fethiyespor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Fethiyespor 3-4 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fethiyespor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fethiyespor 26%, draw 32%, GMG Kastamonuspor 42%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T2L-B More Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup
1 Sep 2024
16:00 Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Kırklarelispor Analysis →
16:00 1461 Trabzon FK vs Isparta 32 Spor Analysis →
17:00 Altınordu vs İnegölspor Analysis →
18:00 Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü vs Kepezspor FAŞ Analysis →
19:00 Altay vs 24Erzincanspor Analysis →