GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0 Fethiyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.3pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Fethiyespor EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.67/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.97
-21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Fethiyespor
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
10.09.2023 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 0-1 HT 0-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor S2-K
11.03.2023 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
01.10.2022 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor T2L-K
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs Fethiyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor beat Fethiyespor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had GMG Kastamonuspor as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for GMG Kastamonuspor and 0.33 for Fethiyespor.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs Fethiyespor?

GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0 Fethiyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs Fethiyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 56%, draw 22%, Fethiyespor 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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