Menemen FK 1-1 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-10.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Menemen FK EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 14%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.52/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.02
-28% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Menemen FK
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 1-1 HT 0-1 Menemen FK Menemen FK S2-K
29.03.2023 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 1-2 HT 0-1 Menemen FK Menemen FK T2L-K
15.10.2022 Menemen FK Menemen FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Menemen FK
1-1
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Menemen FK vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Menemen FK and Arnavutköy Belediye couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Menemen FK at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Menemen FK had 50% of the ball to Arnavutköy Belediye's 50%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Menemen FK and 1.00 for Arnavutköy Belediye.

What was the final score of Menemen FK vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Menemen FK 1-1 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Menemen FK vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Menemen FK win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Menemen FK 60%, draw 24%, Arnavutköy Belediye 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Menemen FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Menemen FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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