İskenderunspor A.Ş. 4-1 Uşak Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.11
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
85%
-12.8pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.6pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Uşak Spor EU Bookmakers 9%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.58/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/2.09
-34% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
513 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Uşak Spor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Uşak Spor Uşak Spor 0-2 HT 0-1 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. S2-K
18.12.2022 Uşak Spor Uşak Spor 1-3 HT 0-1 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
4-1
AWAY Uşak Spor
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Uşak Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskenderunspor A.Ş. cruised past Uşak Spor 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İskenderunspor A.Ş. as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, İskenderunspor A.Ş. had 55% of the ball to Uşak Spor's 45%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İskenderunspor A.Ş. had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for İskenderunspor A.Ş. and 0.50 for Uşak Spor.

What was the final score of İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Uşak Spor?

İskenderunspor A.Ş. 4-1 Uşak Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Uşak Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İskenderunspor A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split İskenderunspor A.Ş. 72%, draw 19%, Uşak Spor 9%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İskenderunspor A.Ş.), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İskenderunspor A.Ş.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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