Somaspor 2-1 Etimesgut Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Somaspor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.24/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.43
-24% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Somaspor
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Etimesgut Belediyespor 0-2 HT 0-1 Somaspor Somaspor S2-K
05.12.2021 Etimesgut Belediyespor 2-2 HT 2-1 Somaspor Somaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Somaspor
2-1
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Somaspor vs Etimesgut Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Somaspor squeezed past Etimesgut Belediyespor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Somaspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Somaspor had 51% of the ball to Etimesgut Belediyespor's 49%, shots finished 5-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Somaspor had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Somaspor and 1.00 for Etimesgut Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Somaspor vs Etimesgut Belediyespor?

Somaspor 2-1 Etimesgut Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Somaspor vs Etimesgut Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Somaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Somaspor 45%, draw 32%, Etimesgut Belediyespor 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Somaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Somaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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