Kryvbas KR 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.5pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 62%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.69/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.02
+74% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -9%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
240 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
03.03.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 5-2 HT 2-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
20.08.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 3-3 HT 2-3 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
12.03.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-3 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
28.08.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk edged past Kryvbas KR 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Kryvbas KR and 3.00 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Kryvbas KR 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 19%, draw 25%, Shakhtar Donetsk 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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