Shakhtar Donetsk 5-2 Kryvbas KR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.4pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 27%
+28% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.60/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.81
+77% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kryvbas KR
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.08.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 3-3 HT 2-3 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
12.03.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-3 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
28.08.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk cruised past Kryvbas KR 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.00 for Kryvbas KR.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR?

Shakhtar Donetsk 5-2 Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 46%, draw 27%, Kryvbas KR 27%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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