03/03/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-1
Obolon Kyiv vs Livyi Bereh Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
25%
Draw
25%
51%
Away Win
57%
54%
Under 2.5
59%
46%
Over 2.5
41%
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
58%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Obolon Kyiv v Livyi Bereh — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Obolon Kyiv
EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY
Livyi Bereh
EU Bookmakers 61%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+15% /
+14%
0.62/1.21
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.07/0.99
-38%
/
+30%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+24%
/
+3%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
9
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
206 · 68%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
394 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.8
Obolon Kyiv vs Livyi Bereh Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Obolon Kyiv
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Livyi Bereh
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
54%
Ball Possession
46%
3
Total Shots
6
7
Corners
2
The Meetings
20.08.2023
Livyi Bereh
1-2
HT 1-0
Obolon Kyiv
UKR
1-2
HT 1-0
Obolon Kyiv
UKR
POST-MATCH
Obolon Kyiv vs Livyi Bereh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Livyi Bereh squeezed past Obolon Kyiv 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Livyi Bereh as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Livyi Bereh?
Obolon Kyiv 0-1 Livyi Bereh in the Ukraine - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Livyi Bereh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Livyi Bereh win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 24%, draw 25%, Livyi Bereh 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livyi Bereh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Livyi Bereh)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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UKR
More Ukraine - Premier League
3 Mar 2024