Obolon Kyiv 0-1 Livyi Bereh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 61%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
0.62/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.99
-38% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
206 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Obolon Kyiv
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Livyi Bereh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
3 Total Shots 6
7 Corners 2
20.08.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-2 HT 1-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Obolon Kyiv vs Livyi Bereh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livyi Bereh squeezed past Obolon Kyiv 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Livyi Bereh as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Livyi Bereh?

Obolon Kyiv 0-1 Livyi Bereh in the Ukraine - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Livyi Bereh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livyi Bereh win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 24%, draw 25%, Livyi Bereh 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livyi Bereh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Livyi Bereh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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