Kallithea 2-2 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
12.8
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
4%
20.4
X/1
6%
14.8
X/2
18%
3.44
X/X
14%
5.64
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.73
2/X
6%
19.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+8.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-11.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kallithea EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 70%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
0.80/2.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/0.78
+13% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
Crosses 16.3
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kallithea
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
19.02.2006 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
01.10.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 2-4 HT 2-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
19.03.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
20.11.2004 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
25.01.2004 Kallithea Kallithea 0-3 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
13.09.2003 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-1 HT 2-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kallithea
2-2
AWAY Panathinaikos
3.36 xG 3.42
40% Ball Possession 60%
26 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 3
226 Passes 387
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 35
21 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kallithea vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kallithea and Panathinaikos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Panathinaikos at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kallithea had 40% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 60%, shots finished 26-18, expected goals 3.36 to 3.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kallithea and 2.50 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Kallithea vs Panathinaikos?

Kallithea 2-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kallithea vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kallithea 22%, draw 24%, Panathinaikos 54%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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