Atromitos 1-2 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Sep 2024

Atromitos
1-2 HT 0-1
PAOK
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Atromitos vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
55%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
10.55
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
7%
19.1
X/1
8%
12.45
X/2
19%
3.5
X/X
10%
5.46
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.87
2/X
6%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atromitos v PAOK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 67%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
0.66/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.71
-17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
10.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
11.9 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Atromitos vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY PAOK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.63 xG 1.36
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
237 Passes 465
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 36
9 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
22.10.2023 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
28.12.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
28.08.2022 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
13.02.2022 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
21.11.2021 Atromitos Atromitos 2-0 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN

Atromitos 1-2 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
1-2
AWAY PAOK
1.11 xG 1.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
233 Passes 344
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK nicked a narrow win over Atromitos 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atromitos had 44% of the ball to PAOK's 56%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.11 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atromitos and 1.33 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs PAOK?

Atromitos 1-2 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 22%, draw 23%, PAOK 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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