Atromitos 0-2 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 4 Feb 2024

Atromitos
0-2 HT 0-0
PAOK
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Atromitos vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.71 — our 25% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
12.3
1/2
8%
21.25
1/X
6%
20.35
X/1
5%
16.1
X/2
17%
3.52
X/X
13%
7.32
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
30%
1.59
2/X
8%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
12%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
18%
+8.7pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-15.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atromitos v PAOK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 75%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
0.61/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.69
+12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
218 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
9.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
11.2 Crosses 18.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Atromitos vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PAOK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.76 xG 1.42
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
237 Passes 437
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
28.12.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
28.08.2022 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
13.02.2022 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
21.11.2021 Atromitos Atromitos 2-0 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
07.01.2021 Atromitos Atromitos 3-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN

Atromitos 0-2 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
0-2
AWAY PAOK
0.06 xG 1.50
31% Ball Possession 69%
2 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
177 Passes 539
65% Pass Accuracy 88%
4 Box Touches 50
8 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK saw off Atromitos 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atromitos had 31% of the ball to PAOK's 69%, shots finished 2-20, expected goals 0.06 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atromitos and 1.33 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs PAOK?

Atromitos 0-2 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 18%, draw 27%, PAOK 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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