PAS Giannina 1-4 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.94
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.63
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
9%
5.11
X/2
9%
5.98
X/X
20%
3.54
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
18%
4.57
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.2pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAS Giannina EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +21%
1.30/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.95
-15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
23.9 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAS Giannina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lamia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
315 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2023 Lamia Lamia 2-1 HT 2-1 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
18.03.2023 Lamia Lamia 2-0 HT 2-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
29.12.2022 Lamia Lamia 1-1 HT 0-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
27.08.2022 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-1 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
28.02.2022 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-0 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
06.12.2021 Lamia Lamia 0-1 HT 0-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAS Giannina
1-4
AWAY Lamia
1.54 xG 3.92
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 10
11 Corners 4
338 Passes 238
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PAS Giannina vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamia swept aside PAS Giannina 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Lamia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PAS Giannina had 57% of the ball to Lamia's 43%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.54 to 3.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PAS Giannina and 1.00 for Lamia.

What was the final score of PAS Giannina vs Lamia?

PAS Giannina 1-4 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAS Giannina vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAS Giannina win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split PAS Giannina 34%, draw 33%, Lamia 32%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PAS Giannina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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