AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AEK Atina v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals
AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
AEK Atina
YUN
2-0
HT 1-0
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
1-1
HT 0-0
AEK Atina
YUN
2-1
HT 1-0
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
0-0
HT 0-0
AEK Atina
YUN
1-1
HT 0-0
AEK Atina
YUN
AEK Atina 4-2 Asteras Tripolis — Actual Match Statistics
AEK Atina saw off Asteras Tripolis 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AEK Atina had 57% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 43%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 3.24 to 1.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AEK Atina and 0.50 for Asteras Tripolis.
What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis?
AEK Atina 4-2 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis?
Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 62%, draw 21%, Asteras Tripolis 17%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.