OFI 1-2 Kifisia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 4 Feb 2024

OFI
1-2 HT 0-1
Kifisia
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 32% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.54
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
15%
4.48
X/2
13%
7.97
X/X
17%
4.75
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
7%
5.75
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kifisia EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.33/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.01
-24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -57%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
23.8 Crosses 20.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Kifisia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.47 xG 0.49
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
338 Passes 163
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.01.2024 Kifisia Kifisia 1-1 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUK
06.12.2023 OFI OFI 3-1 HT 2-1 Kifisia Kifisia YUK
22.10.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 0-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
20.10.2022 Kifisia Kifisia 1-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
1-2
AWAY Kifisia
0.47 xG 2.18
69% Ball Possession 31%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
372 Passes 134
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OFI vs Kifisia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kifisia squeezed past OFI 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was OFI at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFI had 69% of the ball to Kifisia's 31%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.47 to 2.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kifisia's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OFI and 0.75 for Kifisia.

What was the final score of OFI vs Kifisia?

OFI 1-2 Kifisia in the Greece - Super League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Kifisia?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split OFI 43%, draw 31%, Kifisia 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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