Kifisia 1-1 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 17 Jan 2024

Kifisia
1-1 HT 0-0
OFI
📅17/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Cup – 2023/2024

Kifisia vs OFI Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.89
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 31% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
5.81
1/2
10%
22.15
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
8.14
X/2
10%
4.33
X/X
9%
5.24
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.41
2/X
5%
13.5
Value flag · X/1 at 8.14 — our 19% vs market 8.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+13.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-13.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kifisia v OFI — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kifisia EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 55%
+66% / +66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/2.05
+26% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / -59%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Kifisia vs OFI Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kifisia
1W-1D-1L
AWAY OFI
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.49 xG 1.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
163 Passes 338
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
06.12.2023 OFI OFI 3-1 HT 2-1 Kifisia Kifisia YUK
22.10.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 0-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
20.10.2022 Kifisia Kifisia 1-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUK

Kifisia 1-1 OFI — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kifisia
1-1
AWAY OFI
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kifisia vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kifisia and OFI couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was OFI at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Kifisia had 41% of the ball to OFI's 59%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kifisia and 1.00 for OFI.

What was the final score of Kifisia vs OFI?

Kifisia 1-1 OFI in the Greece - Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kifisia vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated an OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kifisia 32%, draw 23%, OFI 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OFI), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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