Kallithea 2-2 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.44
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
18%
5.12
X/2
12%
5.82
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.13
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kallithea EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 37%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.08/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.00
-3% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
288 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kallithea
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Panaitolikos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.12.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-2 HT 0-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kallithea
2-2
AWAY Panaitolikos
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kallithea vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kallithea and Panaitolikos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kallithea had 59% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 41%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Kallithea vs Panaitolikos?

Kallithea 2-2 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kallithea vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kallithea win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kallithea 38%, draw 29%, Panaitolikos 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kallithea) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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