Panserraikos 0-4 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 17 Jan 2024

Panserraikos
0-4 HT 0-2
PAOK
📅17/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Greece - Cup – 2023/2024

Panserraikos vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
48%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
11.9
1/2
6%
23.0
1/X
7%
20.15
X/1
5%
14.6
X/2
23%
3.44
X/X
15%
6.33
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
19%
1.69
2/X
7%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.3pp
29%
Draw
20%
+9.3pp
48%
Away Win
66%
-18.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panserraikos v PAOK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 71%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
0.64/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.53
-24% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +44%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
215 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.4

Panserraikos vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
0W-2D-3L
AWAY PAOK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
0.84 xG 2.12
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
332 Passes 630
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 22
The Meetings
25.11.2023 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
05.01.2011 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
29.08.2010 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 1-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
26.04.2009 PAOK PAOK 4-1 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
20.12.2008 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN

Panserraikos 0-4 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
0-4
AWAY PAOK
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK ran out comfortable winners over Panserraikos 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panserraikos had 41% of the ball to PAOK's 59%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panserraikos and 2.80 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs PAOK?

Panserraikos 0-4 PAOK in the Greece - Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 23%, draw 29%, PAOK 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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