Panathinaikos 2-0 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.49
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.31
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
10%
4.5
X/2
8%
6.16
X/X
19%
3.59
2/1
14%
33.5
2/2
13%
5.14
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.03/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.95
+12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
17.7 Crosses 12.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Olympiakos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.59 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
284 Passes 247
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
10.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
22.10.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-3 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
08.05.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
09.04.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 2-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
25.02.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-0
AWAY Olympiakos
1.59 xG 1.54
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
404 Passes 326
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos beat Olympiakos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 54% of the ball to Olympiakos's 46%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.59 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.33 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos?

Panathinaikos 2-0 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 42%, draw 31%, Olympiakos 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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