Panathinaikos 1-1 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
5.52
6+ Goals
6%
36.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.26
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
4%
13.4
X/1
18%
4.72
X/2
13%
6.26
X/X
19%
3.88
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
10%
4.85
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 29%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.96/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.35
+72% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Olympiakos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.67 xG 0.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
275 Passes 286
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-3 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
08.05.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
09.04.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 2-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
25.02.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
06.11.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
11.05.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
1-1
AWAY Olympiakos
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos and Olympiakos shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 58% of the ball to Olympiakos's 42%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.50 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos?

Panathinaikos 1-1 Olympiakos in the Greece - Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 39%, draw 31%, Olympiakos 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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