AEK Atina 0-0 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 10 Jan 2024

AEK Atina
0-0 HT 0-0
Aris Saloniki
📅10/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Greece - Cup – 2023/2024

AEK Atina vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.8
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
18.95
X/1
18%
3.4
X/2
9%
13.2
X/X
17%
5.57
2/1
9%
24.7
2/2
7%
11.4
2/X
6%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AEK Atina v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 20%
+20% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.14/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.46
-1% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.7

AEK Atina vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.62 xG 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
316 Passes 254
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.12.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
08.05.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
09.04.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
29.01.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
09.10.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-2 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
14.05.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-2 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN

AEK Atina 0-0 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
0-0
AWAY Aris Saloniki
61% Ball Possession 39%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina and Aris Saloniki fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was AEK Atina at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, AEK Atina had 61% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 39%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for AEK Atina and 0.83 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Aris Saloniki?

AEK Atina 0-0 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 51%, draw 27%, Aris Saloniki 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (AEK Atina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ BTTS No
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