Panserraikos 1-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 10 Jan 2024

Panserraikos
1-1 HT 0-1
Asteras Tripolis
📅10/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Cup – 2023/2024

Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.19
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 40% vs market 36.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.79
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
10%
5.02
X/2
11%
5.55
X/X
20%
3.6
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
13%
4.36
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panserraikos v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 36%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
4.97/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.77
+150% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -63%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.96 xG 2.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
386 Passes 258
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
05.12.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
02.12.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
07.10.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
09.08.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos HAZ
16.12.2015 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUK
27.02.2011 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN

Panserraikos 1-1 Asteras Tripolis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
1-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
56% Ball Possession 44%
3 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos and Asteras Tripolis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Panserraikos had 56% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 44%, shots finished 3-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panserraikos and 0.67 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Panserraikos 1-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 37%, draw 33%, Asteras Tripolis 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Panserraikos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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