Volos NFC 0-2 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
53%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
9.12
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 29% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
10.7
1/2
6%
21.75
1/X
5%
18.65
X/1
10%
13.75
X/2
16%
3.59
X/X
15%
6.45
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
31%
1.72
2/X
5%
18.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.5pp
53%
Away Win
66%
-13.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 70%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
0.24/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.14/0.82
-73% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volos NFC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY PAOK
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.34 xG 2.12
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
199 Passes 496
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 32
7 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2023 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUK
27.09.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
08.05.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
09.04.2023 PAOK PAOK 4-2 HT 4-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
12.03.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
13.11.2022 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volos NFC
0-2
AWAY PAOK
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volos NFC vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK got the better of Volos NFC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Volos NFC had 40% of the ball to PAOK's 60%, shots finished 4-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Volos NFC and 2.33 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Volos NFC vs PAOK?

Volos NFC 0-2 PAOK in the Greece - Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volos NFC vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Volos NFC 22%, draw 25%, PAOK 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ BTTS No
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