Los Angeles FC 1-2 San Diego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Sep 2025

📅01/09/2025 · 🕒05:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.29
Over
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.43
2-3
42%
1.87
4-5
24%
2.75
6+
12%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.29
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.53
X/2
9%
8.5
X/X
13%
5.86
2/1
10%
20.15
2/2
12%
5.97
2/X
8%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Diego EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.81/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.68
-4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.3 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY San Diego
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.57 xG 2.87
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
400 Passes 701
89% Pass Accuracy 91%
19 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2025 San Diego San Diego 3-2 HT 3-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
1-2
AWAY San Diego
1.46 xG 0.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
379 Passes 560
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
33 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs San Diego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego squeezed past Los Angeles FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Los Angeles FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 42% of the ball to San Diego's 58%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.46 to 0.88 — on chances, Los Angeles FC could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs San Diego?

Los Angeles FC 1-2 San Diego in the USA - Major League on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs San Diego?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 47%, draw 28%, San Diego 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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