Deportivo Tachira 4-0 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 1 Sep 2025

📅01/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
15%
Away Win
17%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -9%
1.53/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.47
-7% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
21.0 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 0.91
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
266 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
17.07.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
04.02.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 5-1 HT 4-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
08.10.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
07.10.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
09.03.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
4-0
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
2.37 xG 0.70
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
311 Passes 217
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira ran out comfortable winners over Estudiantes De Merida 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 60% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 40%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.37 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 1.17 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Deportivo Tachira 4-0 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 60%, draw 25%, Estudiantes De Merida 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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