Deportivo Tachira 5-1 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

Deportivo Tachira
5-1 HT 4-1
Estudiantes De Merida
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Deportivo Tachira vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.95
No
62%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.3pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Tachira v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +23%
1.12/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.44
-4% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.4 Crosses 17.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.9

Deportivo Tachira vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 0.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
290 Passes 348
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
07.10.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
09.03.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira CON CSA
06.02.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 3-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
19.09.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-2 HT 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
27.02.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN

Deportivo Tachira 5-1 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
5-1
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.77 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
296 Passes 320
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira swept aside Estudiantes De Merida 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 49% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 51%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.77 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 1.00 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Deportivo Tachira 5-1 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 44%, draw 29%, Estudiantes De Merida 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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