Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.9pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
0.96/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.14
-4% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
20.4 Crosses 18.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Zamora
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.41 xG 1.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
386 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
04.02.2023 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
19.09.2022 Zamora Zamora 1-1 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
26.02.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-1 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
27.09.2021 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
07.08.2021 Zamora Zamora 1-1 HT 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1-0
AWAY Zamora
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermanos Colmenarez edged past Zamora 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Hermanos Colmenarez found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 35% of the ball to Zamora's 65%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamora led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 1.33 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs Zamora?

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermanos Colmenarez win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 36%, draw 34%, Zamora 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hermanos Colmenarez) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hermanos Colmenarez) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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