Monagas 2-4 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
0.78/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.19
-18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.8 Crosses 16.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.96 xG 2.33
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
265 Passes 265
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 27
33 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.07.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 3-2 HT 0-2 Monagas Monagas VEN
08.05.2023 Monagas Monagas 0-2 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
31.10.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
23.10.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-2 HT 0-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
28.08.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
28.03.2022 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 2-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
2-4
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.10 xG 1.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 1
294 Passes 222
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos got the better of Monagas 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Metropolitanos made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monagas had 56% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 44%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.10 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monagas and 1.17 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Metropolitanos?

Monagas 2-4 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monagas 39%, draw 30%, Metropolitanos 31%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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