Pro Patria 1-1 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Oct 2024

Pro Patria
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Novara
📅01/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.82
Draw
38%
2.76
Away
33%
2.61
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
1.44
Over
30%
2.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
41%
1.99
2-3
47%
1.85
4-5
11%
6.66
6+
1%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
2%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
27%
2/1
2%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Pro Patria The Market 36%
Signal
AWAY Novara The Market 38%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
0.74 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.98
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Novara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 3-0 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
10.09.2023 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 0-2 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
15.03.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
12.11.2022 Novara Novara 1-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
11.04.2021 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-3 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
20.12.2020 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1 - 1
AWAY Novara
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Pro Patria vs Novara
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pro Patria and Novara couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

A draw from a 29% / 38% / 33% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (70%) came in, no to both teams scoring (58%) didn't.

By the numbers, Pro Patria had 51% of the ball to Novara's 49%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pro Patria and 1.00 for Novara.

Pro Patria vs Novara Result & Final Score

Pro Patria 1 - 1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pro Patria vs Novara Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 29%, draw 38%, Novara 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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