Pro Patria vs Novara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pro Patria v Novara — Team-Based Signals
Pro Patria vs Novara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pro Patria 1-1 Novara — Actual Match Statistics
Pro Patria and Novara couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 41%, and the draw held. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.
On the day, Pro Patria had 51% of the ball to Novara's 49%, shots finished 13-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pro Patria and 1.00 for Novara.
What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Novara?
Pro Patria 1-1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Novara?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 28%, draw 41%, Novara 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.