Pro Patria 3-0 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Jan 2024

Pro Patria
3-0 HT 1-0
Novara
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Pro Patria vs Novara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
13%
5.92
6+ Goals
9%
43.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.9pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pro Patria v Novara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
0.94/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.53
-19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Pro Patria vs Novara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Novara
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.09.2023 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 0-2 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
15.03.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
12.11.2022 Novara Novara 1-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
11.04.2021 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-3 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
20.12.2020 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
08.12.2019 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-2 HT 0-1 Novara Novara İTC

Pro Patria 3-0 Novara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
3-0
AWAY Novara
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria ran out comfortable winners over Novara 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Pro Patria made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Pro Patria had 37% of the ball to Novara's 63%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novara led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pro Patria and 1.33 for Novara.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Novara?

Pro Patria 3-0 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 33%, draw 27%, Novara 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Novara), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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