Triestina 2-3 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.05
6+ Goals
11%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +10%
1.54/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.18
-11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +32%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-2 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
11.02.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
16.10.2022 Triestina Triestina 0-3 HT 0-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
12.02.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-1 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
03.10.2021 Triestina Triestina 2-3 HT 1-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
15.01.2011 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-1 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
2-3
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe nicked a narrow win over Triestina 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Triestina had 54% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 46%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Triestina and 1.50 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe?

Triestina 2-3 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Triestina 53%, draw 24%, AlbinoLeffe 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ BTTS No
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