Pontedera vs Fermana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pontedera v Fermana — Team-Based Signals
Pontedera vs Fermana Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Pontedera
İTC
0-4
HT 0-3
Pontedera
İTC
2-1
HT 1-0
Fermana
İTC
1-2
HT 0-1
Fermana
İTC
1-0
HT 0-0
Pontedera
İTC
Pontedera 4-0 Fermana — Actual Match Statistics
Pontedera swept aside Fermana 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pontedera as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Pontedera had 56% of the ball to Fermana's 44%, shots finished 14-19.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fermana led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Pontedera and 1.00 for Fermana.
What was the final score of Pontedera vs Fermana?
Pontedera 4-0 Fermana in the Italy - Serie C on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Fermana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 51%, draw 24%, Fermana 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontedera), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.