Pro Vercelli 0-1 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.08/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.42
-21% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Renate
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
14.01.2023 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
13.09.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-1 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
20.02.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-1 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
18.10.2021 Renate Renate 2-2 HT 0-2 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
03.02.2021 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 3-0 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
0-1
AWAY Renate
63% Ball Possession 37%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate nicked a narrow win over Pro Vercelli 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pro Vercelli at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 63% of the ball to Renate's 37%, shots finished 4-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pro Vercelli and 1.00 for Renate.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Renate?

Pro Vercelli 0-1 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 42%, draw 28%, Renate 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pro Vercelli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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