Patriotas Boyaca 2-2 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.51
Over
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
41%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +13%
1.26/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.30
-20% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.2 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.98 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
261 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.03.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
30.10.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
15.05.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 3-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
28.10.2021 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
08.02.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
05.02.2020 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
2-2
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.06 xG 1.05
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
305 Passes 125
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patriotas Boyaca and Deportivo Cali shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 68% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 32%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.06 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 0.67 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportivo Cali?

Patriotas Boyaca 2-2 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patriotas Boyaca win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 40%, draw 32%, Deportivo Cali 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Patriotas Boyaca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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