Deportivo Cali 0-1 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.8pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -27%
1.64/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.43
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
20.8 Crosses 12.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.36 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
320 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
15.05.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 3-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
28.10.2021 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
08.02.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
05.02.2020 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
29.09.2019 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 3-1 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
0-1
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
376 Passes 193
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patriotas Boyaca nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Cali 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cali at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 64% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 36%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Cali and 0.67 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Deportivo Cali 0-1 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 47%, draw 28%, Patriotas Boyaca 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Cali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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