Deportivo Pereira 2-1 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.1pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -22%
1.12/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.03
-7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
17.8 Crosses 14.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.91 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
312 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
13.03.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
20.09.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
15.04.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOLK
07.04.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
24.03.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2-1
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.23 xG 0.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
324 Passes 329
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 7
9 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira edged past Aguilas Doradas 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Deportivo Pereira made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 49% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 51%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.23 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.17 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Aguilas Doradas?

Deportivo Pereira 2-1 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 38%, draw 28%, Aguilas Doradas 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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