Al Najma 2-3 Al Suqoor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-12.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Suqoor EU Bookmakers 69%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/0.00
+2% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
237 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Suqoor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Suqoor nicked a narrow win over Al Najma 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Suqoor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Suqoor?

Al Najma 2-3 Al Suqoor in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Suqoor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Suqoor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 21%, draw 27%, Al Suqoor 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Suqoor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Suqoor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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