Borussia Dortmund U19 4-0 Celtic U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.68
Over 2.5
55%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
9.56
2-3 Goals
41%
2.5
4-5 Goals
30%
2.33
6+ Goals
9%
3.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.6pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
24%
+21.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
76%
-21.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.6pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund U19 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic U19 EU Bookmakers 18%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.56/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.59
-34% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +35%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
429 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 84%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund U19
4-0
AWAY Celtic U19
66% Ball Possession 34%
28 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Celtic U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund U19 swept aside Celtic U19 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Borussia Dortmund U19 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund U19 had 66% of the ball to Celtic U19's 34%, shots finished 28-6.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Celtic U19?

Borussia Dortmund U19 4-0 Celtic U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Celtic U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund U19 58%, draw 20%, Celtic U19 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund U19), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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