Leverkusen U19 3-1 Milan U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leverkusen U19 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan U19 EU Bookmakers 49%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
0.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-100% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leverkusen U19
3-1
AWAY Milan U19
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leverkusen U19 vs Milan U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leverkusen U19 got the better of Milan U19 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Milan U19 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leverkusen U19 had 38% of the ball to Milan U19's 62%, shots finished 10-22.

What was the final score of Leverkusen U19 vs Milan U19?

Leverkusen U19 3-1 Milan U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leverkusen U19 vs Milan U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leverkusen U19 28%, draw 29%, Milan U19 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milan U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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